EQ WATCH: 9/30-10/7/20

There may not be a lot going on out there in the world right now when it comes to significant earthquakes, but there is now a very high chance that could change dramatically any time now or sometime within the next 5-7 days at this point so far. There is even an extremely high potential for a magnitude 7 or greater striking somewhere. There is also a heightened potential for something more significant taking place in Southern California or Central California within the next 2 weeks or sooner so far. Don't be alarmed when I say this. I don't necessarily mean that "the big one" is coming next week. First of all, I would never jump the gun like that. I don't want to be one of those people who boldly go around alarming people, believing that a large quake is going to hit tomorrow or anything like that. Nothing is written in stone. It changes all the time. It has just been becoming steadily more active here. It can go from 0 to 90 in a matter of minutes. As far as the rest of the world is concerned, a major earthquake is due somewhere any day now. It could happen today or it could remain very quiet out there for now. Regions that could be potential candidates for the next set of significant seismic activity would include: The Mediterrreanean Sea region from Italy to Western Turkey(one of those places), parts of Central Asia such as the Caspian Sea region and the Hindu Kush to Myanmar, Indonesia(Kepulauan Babar, Banda Sea region, Molucca Sea region), Philippines, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Kermadec Islands region, Northern Mariana Islands, possibly Taiwan, Japan(Ryukyu Islands, Northern Honshu, or Hokkaido), Aleutian Islands... At this point, it may or may not act up much out there right now, but a strong earthquake within the next few days somewhere is highly likely.

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Outlook: 9/29/20

 There was only one strong earthquake in the world over the past week and it occurred in a remote part of the world. At this point, it could remain quiet for another day or two before more significant activity takes place. At the same time, a strong earthquake could be imminent somewhere at any moment. There could even be a magnitude 7 or higher bound to strike somewhere any time or day now. The Eastern Mediterranean Sea region - Somewhere from Italy to Greece and Turkey may be hot right now. There has been a lot of activity taking place there recently. Parts of Central Asia have also been showing signs of becoming significantly active lately. At home, there has been little going on here in Southern California this morning. The activity was decreasing yesterday after it had been showing signs of heating up. There is still much more to come within the next week or two. If it stays quiet here all day today, there might be more going on again within the next 2-3 days.

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Update: September 26, 2020

 

A magnitude 6.0 occurred near the Prince Edwards Islands area, Southwest of South Africa today. There is a very high chance for more strong quakes in the world anytime now, but at the same time, there may not be much else going on just yet. Regions that may be under the gun include: the Kuril Islands region, Kamchatka Peninsula, Japan(Hokkaido or Honshu), the Northern Mariana Islands region, Indonesia(Babar Islands region, Molucca Sea region), East Timor, Papua New Guinea, Tonga, Solomon Islands, the Hindu Kush or Himalayas region or the Turkmenistan region, the Eastern Mediterranean Sea region... There may likely be more mag. 4+ taking place in Southern Alaska such as the Peninsula region or the Aleutian Islands. There continues to be more seismic activity heating up in Southern California.

Update: Sept. 25, 2020

 

There has been a few moderate size events out there, but there still has not been very much going on yet. There should be more strong earthquake activity going on any time now or any day within the next 5 or 6 days at this point. A strong earthquake within that window is highly likely. It just may or may not act up much today. It could in fact become incredibly quiet at first. However, there is a very high potential for magnitude 6 or greater earthquakes somewhere worldwide. The Greece region has been looking concerning lately. It has been showing signs of acting up significantly there most recently, over the last 2 days. The activity in Southern California has decreased, but there is still a lot due within the week ahead so far. Alaska may have some more significant activity going on, especially in the Aleutian Islands or the Southwest corner. There may be some volcanic activity going on there.

New EQ Watch: 9/24-29/20

There may not be very much going on in the world right now in terms of significant earthquakes, but there is a very high potential for magnitude 6+ events somewhere within the next several days so far. There could even be a magnitude 7 or greater imminent somewhere. A magnitude 6 or larger earthquake is of an extremely high chance any time now in the world. It may or may not happen today, but it is highly likely within the next few days at this point. Places that may be potential candidates for the next mag. 6 or greater events would include: Japan, Indonesia(the Banda Sea region or Molucca Sea), East Timor, Papua New Guinea, Guam(Northern Mariana Islands), Philippines, the Tonga region, Central Asia(Pakistan Afghanistan, Myanmar, or the Himalayas), Greece, Turkey... Once again, it may or may not act up out there today, but there should be more taking place within the next several days at this point. There has also continued to be more seismic activity on the rise in Southern California so far. There still may be much more to come within the week ahead. There is also signs of more activity taking place in the Mammoth Lakes area and more activity has warmed up in the Searles Valley area. In Southern California, I am starting to watch the Mojave Desert more between the Ridgecrest sequence, Johannesburg, and other parts of that region. 

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Update: 9/18/20

A magnitude 6.8 earthquake just occurred in the Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge. I suspected the next large quake would occur in an innocuous part of the world. There has recently been more earthquakes occurring along the Mid-Atlantic Ridge which is a divergent plate boundary. However, there is still a strong chance of mag. 6-7+ elsewhere worldwide anytime now and the next big one could strike somewhere where it could be a much more dangerous situation. It could be any time now or it could be next week at this point. So far, there is still a very high potential for serious seismic activity somewhere in the world. Places that could be hit include: Central Asia(Tajikistan, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Myanmar, or Xizang), Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Tonga, Japan, Aleutian Islands, Kamchatka Peninsula, Kuril Islands, Greece, or Central America.. There may or may not be more activity going on in Southern California right now just yet. However, there is an extremely high chance of mag. 4 or greater any day now. There is due to once again be much more to come. At this point, there is a very high chance of major earthquake activity going on somewhere in the world any time now, but it could also die back down again.

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Sept. 17, 2020

There is now an extremely high chance of a major earthquake somewhere in the world any moment now or some time within the next 5 days so far. The potential for mag. 6-7+ has increased even higher just now. It may end up becoming quiet out there again, but there may be a lot more significant activity going on within the next week at this point. Regions that may be under the gun include: Indonesia, the Andaman Islands region, parts of Central Asia(somewhere from Xizang to the Hindu Kush region), Philippines(Luzon or the Batan and Babuyan Islands region), Kuril Islands, Kamchatka Peninsula, Japan, the Southwestern Pacific ROF(somewhere from the Solomon Islands to Tonga and the Kermadec Islands), the Aleutian Islands, and/or Central America(including Southern Mexico).. Those named regions could be the next potential candidates for the next large event. At the same time, it could become quiet again for now and then start back up again in about 2 or 3 days. There is still a very high chance of more magnitude 6 or greater out there with the potential for a magnitude 7 or greater somewhere. There is also continuing to be a high chance of more seismic activity increasing around Southern California any time now. More mag. 3-4+ should be on the rise within the coming days at this point. There is also a potential for more going on elsewhere in California and/or other parts of the Western United States such as Idaho.

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Update: Sept. 15, 2020

 

A magnitude 6.4 struck Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula about 8-9 hours ago. Less than an hour later, a magnitude 6.1 tremor struck the Fiji region. There is a raised potential for more magnitude 6 or greater out there in the world any moment or day now. However, it may also become quiet again for now and there not be anymore significant events for a couple more days. The seismic activity may also be increasing some more today in Southern California. There was not very much going on overnight, but there should be more going on this week. There are also signs of more activity increasing the the Ridgecrest area so far. In terms of earthquakes around the world, there is a high chance of mag. 7+ somewhere any time or day now. At the same time, there may not be one at all for now, but it may be becoming more active out there again any time or day now. It could be within a week or two weeks at this point.

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Update: Sept. 14, 2020

 There has been a lot of moderate sized earthquakes occurring worldwide. However, there may or may not be anything of magnitude 6 and above going on yet. There is still a very high chance of large earthquakes somewhere out there any time now. It could happen today or later this week. It may also become quiet again at first. Yesterday, a moderate and shallow quake struck Sulawesi(Indonesia) and it caused some considerable damage and injuries. There is still a very high risk of large earthquake activity somewhere out there any time or day now. It could become quiet again for now, but there is likely to be more mag. 6+ out there within the next 5 days. There also is due to be more mag. 3-4+ in Southern California. There has not been much activity going on here for a while. It was extremely quiet all week last week. Places around the world that should be watched out for would include: Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands region, Tonga, Kermadec Islands, Northern Mariana Islands, Ryukyu Islands(Japan), Philippines, Japan(Hokkaido or Honshu), Kamchatka peninsula, Alaska(Southern AK or the Aleutian Islands), possibly parts of the Caribbean, Bolivia, or possibly the Eastern Mediterranean Sea region...

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New EQ Watch: Sept. 13 - 23, 2020

 

There is now a very high chance of magnitude 6+ worldwide any time or day now so far. There is even a very high chance of mag. 7+ somewhere anytime within the next week ahead or any time now. More activity has started to warm up again. At the same time, it could become quiet for now and act up later this week. However, there is a heightened chance for more large EQs somewhere in the world any time now. Regions that may be under the gun include: Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Tonga, Vanuatu, Japan(Izu Islands, Hokkaido), Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippines, Myanmar, Hindu Kush region, Turkey, Greece, Bolivia, Central America.. There should also be more activity increasing in Southern California this week with a high chance of mag. 3-4+ any day now. Other parts of California could experience more mag. 3+ events anytime or day now including the Cloverdale area. I will be providing updates as the week goes along.

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Update: Sept. 11, 2020

A magnitude 6.3 earthquake struck Northern Chile, 51 miles NNE of Tocopilla overnight. There have been no reports of injuries or damage so far. This was probably an aftershock of the recent set of strong earthquakes along Chile's Northern coast. Otherwise, there has not been much else going on worldwide. There were no other significant earthquakes anywhere else in the world so far. It could remain like this well into the weekend or there could suddenly be a lot going on today or tomorrow. There is the possibility of a magnitude 7 or greater somewhere any day now. There could possibly be a mag. 8 imminent somewhere. There has not been a magnitude 8.something yet this year. Of course, magnitude 8s don't always happen once a year. There still has been little going on in Southern California. There have been hours-long intervals between mag. 1s here in Southern California and it has been this way all week. It has showed no signs of changing whatsoever. It could stay quiet well into the weekend or it could increase dramatically later on - whether it be today or tomorrow. It has been too quiet for too long. It has acted up in other parts of California. A magnitude 4 aftershock occurred in the Olancha area early this morning. It still has not shown any signs of picking up again here in the area South of the Tehachapi Mountains and Garlock Fault, North of the Mexico border. There should be more magnitude 4+ quakes going on in this region by now. There should at least be a lot more going on by next week at this point.

Update: Sept. 9, 2020

It looks like it may be an extremely uneventful week. At the same time, a major earthquake could still suddenly occur somewhere out there any day now. Late last night, there were signs of it becoming active again, but then it stopped. The overall activity around the world is very low right now. There still is a chance it could heat up again today, but it also might not. There has been very little going on in Southern California over the past 2-3 days. It still is showing little or no signs of acting up right now. It could continue like this for another day or possibly a little longer. However, it could suddenly heat up again later whether it be today, tomorrow, or this weekend. There is a lot more to be taking place here within the week ahead at this point.

Second Update: 9/7/20

The activity may start surging again in parts of the world anytime now. There is still a high chance of a magnitude 6-7 or greater somewhere at any moment or later on in the week. Places that may be under that threat include: the Andaman Islands region, Indonesia, Philippines, Papua New Guinea, Tonga, Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, Japan(Hokkaido), Aleutian Islands(Alaska), Bolivia, Chile, Iran, Azerbaijan region... At the same time, that threat could also die back down. It has been unstable late last night and all day today. The activity in Southern California is still very low. However, a spike in activity with more magnitude 3+ quakes is likely this week. More could start happening tonight or tomorrow. However, it will not surprise me if it does not change tonight or by tomorrow morning. More seismic activity may also start increasing in other parts of CA such as the Ridgecrest area and Mammoth Lakes.

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Update: Sept. 7, 2020

 

The activity around the world has been rapidly decreasing since overnight. I sort of figured that this would happen. There may not be anymore significant activity going on anywhere for right now. It might end up becoming extremely quiet before it acts up again somewhere. It could end up being quiet all week or it could become very active again tomorrow, Thursday, or perhaps later on this afternoon or evening. Even though it has been active over the last couple of days that does not mean it is over and there will not be anything large going on for a while. I was doubtful about a major earthquake occurring somewhere at any time when I was making that post yesterday. I believe all that activity going on in the world prompted me to post it as a precautionary measure. However, there still is a high potential for more big earthquakes this week. It may or may not act up now or today. It is still showing no signs of acting up in Southern California today. It could suddenly spike later on or it may be another day of monotony in terms of local seismic activity. There is likely to be more going on this week around here. It should not be quiet much longer.

NEW WATCH: Sept. 6-11, 2020

There is now an extremely high chance of mag. 7+ worldwide anytime or day now so far. At the same time, the threat could discontinue, but it is very heated out there. A major earthquake may be imminent somewhere any moment or day now within a window of 5 days at this point. It could extend to 7 days. Regions that may be of concern include: Iran, Japan, Indonesia, Philippines, Papua New Guinea, Northern Mariana Islands, Aleutian Islands(Alaska), Kuril Islands or the Kamchatka Peninsula, Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, South Sandwich Islands, Chile, Bolivia, or Peru... This does not necessarily mean that one or more of these mentioned places might experience a particularly large earthquake. Those are just potential candidates for more significant activity. Closer to home, there has not been much else taking place in Southern California today. However, the activity may increase again anytime now or later this evening or tomorrow. There is again, due to be more mag. 3-4+ here anytime or day now. It has been steadily becoming more active here. There has also been some more activity occurring in other parts of California. Again, there may be an elevated risk for major earthquake activity in the world, but it could also end up calming back down at the same time. I will post updates as the week goes along.

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Update: September 6, 2020

Three strong earthquakes occurred globally after my last post in this blog. A magnitude 6.3 happened in Western Coquimbo, Chile. Then a magnitude 6.2 struck across the Pacific Ocean in Vanuatu. Then later, an even larger event - magnitude 6.6 - occurred in the Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge. There is still a high chance for more large and potentially dangerous earthquakes in the world anytime now. It is still very active out there right now. Places like Indonesia, Central America, Hokkaido(Japan), and the Southwestern Pacific may be under the gun. There is also still due to be more seismic activity increasing in Southern California any time now. The Ridgecrest area and the Sierra Nevadas may have more activity going on any time now as well. Central and/or Northern California may also have more activity taking place anytime or day now. More magnitude 4+ might be of a very high potential for parts of Alaska such as the peninsula area anytime now or within the next several days so far.

Update: September 5, 2020

 After a long and monotonous day in terms of earthquakes, a magnitude 5.9 occurred in the Molucca Sea region. I deleted a post I made earlier this afternoon. It was not a very well thought out post. There is now a very high potential for mag. 6-7+ worldwide any time or day now so far. A magnitude 8+ somewhere is of a higher possibility. Magnitude 8 quakes happen worldwide about once a year on average. There has not been one yet. At this point, more serious earthquake activity could start occurring somewhere any moment now, tomorrow, this week or it may end up becoming quiet again for now. Potential candidates for the next set of significant earthquakes include: Indonesia(Halmahera, Java, Sulawesi, Sumatra, the Flores Sea, or Banda Sea region), Central Asia(Pakistan, Afghanistan, or Myanmar), Greece or the Eastern Mediterranean Sea region, Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Fiji, Central America, South Sandwich Islands, Batan Islands(Philippines).. More earthquakes are due to start occurring in Southern California any time or day now. It has been a rather uninteresting day here in terms of seismic activity, but it could start up again tonight or tomorrow. If it stays quiet through the rest of the weekend and Labor Day, then much more should start taking place within the next week.

Update: September 3, 2020

There has been some more moderate earthquakes occurring in the world since yesterday, but nothing large. However, there is still a high potential for more large earthquake activity within the next 5 days. A magnitude 6 or greater could happen anytime today, this weekend, or next week so far. Regions that are of potential concern include: parts of Central Asia such as Afghanistan, Pakistan, and/or Myanmar, Iran, Indonesia(Sumatra, Java, Sulawesi, or Halmahera), Banda or Flores Sea region, Molucca Sea region, Philippines(Luzon or the Batan and Babuyan Islands), New Guinea or Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Vanuatu, Fiji, South Sandwich Islands, Argentina, Peru, Northern Mariana Islands, Japan.. More seismic activity is expected to rise in Southern California within the week ahead so far. There is also a higher chance of more activity on the rise in Central and/or Eastern California. More magnitude 3+ may occur elsewhere in the West such as Idaho or Nevada. There is still a high chance for strong earthquakes worldwide today, but at the same time, there may not be much going on again yet.

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Outlook for Southern California

 The activity in Southern California has decreased significantly over the past day. I woke up to dead quiet out here. It could remain like this all day or it could suddenly start back up again later on. There should be a lot more going on within the next few weeks. It should start becoming more and more active with more frequent mag. 3s and 4s with a greater possibility for stronger events. This may also include the Ridgecrest area. More activity could rise again in the Eastern California Shear Zone and the Tehachapi Mountains within the next couple of weeks or sooner. At this point, it should not stay very quiet much longer here. More activity might start increasing again any day now. It could remain like this for another day or two, but it should start increasing again later on today or tomorrow. There is always a high chance of a magnitude 3+ anytime or day now here. It has become more active out here over the past year. We are only getting closer to when it becomes even more active with stronger earthquakes.

Update: September 1, 2020

A magnitude 6.8 earthquake occurred just off the coast of Northern Chile late last night. There were no immediate reports of casualties or damage and no tsunami alert was issued. The quake occurred at 12:09 A.M. local time at a depth of 22 miles. A magnitude 6.3 aftershock occurred a few minutes later. There were several more significant aftershocks following the event. The quake was felt as far as the nation's capital of Santiago as well as in Antofagasta which was 826 miles further to the North. There was video footage of windows rattling and objects falling to the ground. Local radio stations reported that boulders have broken off hills. The electricity was also briefly cut off. Earlier yesterday, a magnitude 6.2 earthquake occurred in the Chagos Archipelago region(Indian Ocean). The previous day, another strong earthquake(mag. 6.5) occurred in at another divergent plate boundary in the Central Atlantic Ocean. There may continue to be more significant earthquake activity firing up in the world anytime or day now. There may be more seismic activity heating back up again in Southern California anytime now. It may have stopped overnight, but there is still a very high potential for more going on here. There is also a high potential for mag. 3+ in Central and/or Northern California and other parts of the Western U.S. anytime or day now so far.