Monday, January 4, 2021

Forecast: 1/4-11/21

From now on, instead of posting it as Quake Watch, I should make a forecast of the week. Right now, there is activity heating up in the Salton Sea area in Southern California. It started at around 10 this morning. The largest was a magnitude 4.0 with a foreshock of magnitude 3.1. So far, there have been 4 quakes of magnitude 3 and above. Most of that is part of the Brawley Seismic Zone, located by the Southern shore of the Salton Sea. This area has many events at once with many close in magnitude to the largest quake instead of one large mainshock with much smaller aftershocks. Meanwhile, the overall global earthquake activity has been winding down. It may still act up somewhere today, but at the same time, it could stay relatively quiet for now. There is still due to be a major quake somewhere. It could act up out there significantly within 2-3 days at this point. However, a strong quake occurring today or tomorrow is still of a high potential. Regions that could be candidates for the next large event(s) would include: Micronesia, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Tonga, Indonesia(Sulawesi, Flores and Banda Sea region), East Timor, Philippines(Mindanao), Taiwan, Ryukyu Islands, Japan, China(Sichuan Province area), Gulf of Alaska, Central America.. I will be continuing to monitor the activity in Southern California. It may be becoming more significantly active out here at least very soon. In terms of large EQs worldwide, it could be very quiet for now. It could be tomorrow or Wednesday whenever it spikes again. At this point, it could get really quiet before it suddenly becomes heavily active. It might be volatile out there. There have been periods where it could be increased, multiple frequent moderate quakes leading up to large events. It could end up staying quiet and one major event occurs in the world. I will be keeping the world posted via Twitter. It can change all the time, but instead of updating the forecast via blog post, I can do that on Twitter. I want to try to limit that and only post an update when there is a big earthquake.

https://twitter.com/SeismicFox1

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