Wednesday, April 13, 2022

Long-term Forecast: April 2022


Late yesterday, I tweeted that there was a potential for some more significant activity in the world due at any moment. It did not feel like a particularly large earthquake was imminent somewhere or a major surge was about to happen, but an earthquake or two in the high magnitude 5 range. About an hour later a couple of them happened - a mag. 5.7 in the Ryukyu Islands region and a mag. 5.9 in the Papua New Guinea region. Posting a world EQ watch was not necessary, but I alerted on Twitter that there could be a significant earthquake or two somewhere. This made me decide that I should make a long-term forecast. So far, it is not showing signs of acting up any further today. However, the next surge in significant earthquake activity in the world could be starting this weekend or early next week. It could even start tomorrow or even overnight. Yet, there may also not be a sudden spike in significant earthquakes occurring in the world. It could end up being a long, drawn-out period with it happening in brief spurts and then falling quiet again over the next 2-3 weeks. The next magnitude 6 or greater would likely strike within the next week. Again, this is a forecast, NOT A PREDICTION. Nothing is set in stone. There is no guaranteed date that something is going to happen somewhere. At the same time, we could end up going through a long, quiet spell. Or it can change on a dime where I could end up making a new post this evening or first thing tomorrow morning. It is very mercurial. I am also trying to specify where in the world it might act up. I want to try to include that in my tweets where people from those regions can be notified. That way, they will less likely be caught off guard, lowering their chances of getting hurt or killed. So far, it looks like the next candidates for the next set of serious earthquake activity might include the Philippines, Indonesia, Japan, the Ryukyu Islands region, Taiwan, Western China, Turkey, Greece, Papua New Guinea, Tonga, the Kermadec Islands region, the Aleutian Islands(Alaska, U.S.A.). The western Ring of Fire has been more active lately. I'm sorry to say this to some of the regions that have already been hit hard, but they may not be out of the woods yet. Other parts of Japan like Hokkaido could possibly have something going on, but this isn't limited to Japan proper. Luzon(Philippines) has been a little more active recently as well.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Report: 7.2.23

  A magnitude 6.9 struck the Tonga region earlier. There was no tsunami danger for the US west coast, British Columbia, and Alaska, the US T...